Should we expect a bigger sell-off on crypto?
In line with market expectations, the hawkish speech of the Federal Reserve chairman last Friday contributed to a significant decline in the cryptocurrency market at the end of last week. This fact caused Bitcoin to increase the scale of the depreciation lasting from August 15 to over 22.5%, slipping to the lowest level since mid-July this year. If this sale continues, BTC could soon return to the June and July lows, that is, to the region of USD 19,000.
However, it is possible that, due to the relatively calm start of the new week, Bitcoin will see a slight upward recovery soon before it returns to the downward path. The catalyst for another sell-off may be the Wednesday and Friday data from the US labour market, which will undoubtedly significantly impact the Fed’s decision on the September federal funds rate hike scale.
Looking at the Ethereum quotes, we notice that the price of this cryptocurrency fell by over 17% in the second half of last week, increasing the range of the depreciation that has been taking place since August 14 this year to a low of 30%.
This sell-off plunged the ETH price below $ 1,780 technical support and below $ 1,575.
The market is currently testing another $ 1,400 support. However, if this barrier is also overcome, then Ethereum could drop to USD 1,250.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
Over the past few days, Bitcoin Cash has slumped by over 20%, increasing the extent of the depreciation that has been ongoing since July 29 this year to nearly 33%. It also pushed the BCH back to $ 112, one of its lowest levels since mid-July.
If the downward trend continues and the cryptocurrency drops below the currently tested support, it could continue its rally toward $ 97, which is another crucial support zone.
Litecoin fell by 20% between August 14 and 20, breaking the bottom from an extended bullish wedge formation. This sell-off stopped at $ 52.50 technical support, where a demand response surfaced on August 20.
Due to subsequent gains, the LTC returned to the previously broken support (now resistance) area of $ 57.50, measuring a 38.2% Fibonacci correction from an earlier downward move. In the area of this resistance, the supply response reappeared, and the quotes of this cryptocurrency once again fell to $ 52.50.
Therefore, one can conclude that the LTC rate has stalled in the past few days in consolidation between the support at $ 52.50 and the resistance in the area of $ 57.50.
Given that the consolidations are corrective patterns and that the market had a downward move earlier, Litecoin is statistically more likely to break the bottom from the current layout, which could drive a further depreciation toward $ 42.
We notice Solana’s quotations that the cryptocurrency has been moving from mid-June inside the bullish wedge formation. The last increases stopped in mid-August this year, near the upper limit of this system, where a supply reaction appeared again.
The declines since then caused the SOL price to drop by almost 38%, breaking the bottom out of the wedge formation and beating the horizontal support of $ 32.50. If this trend continues, the quotations of this cryptocurrency could soon return to the region of the June lows, i.e. to USD 26.
The Polygon cryptocurrency fell by more than 28% between August 14 and August 20 this year, slipping below technical support of $ 0.87. This sell-off stopped around the following support in the $ 0.75 region.
The MATIC course has been in the horizontal trend for over a week. So we have a similar situation here as in the case of Litecoin. So if the currently tested support is permanently defeated, the MATIC could drop further to $ 0.61, $ 0.45, or even $ 0.32.
Looking at the XRP quotations, we will notice that the price of this cryptocurrency has remained within a parallel growth channel since mid-June this year. After rebounding from the upper limit of this system at the end of July this year, the XRP rate stuck in a horizontal trend just below the local resistance of USD 0.39.
The supply pressure observed on August 18 and 19 contributed to breaking the bottom out of this system. Moments later, the upward trend line was also broken, which was the lower boundary of the entire growth channel.
This sale stopped only in the vicinity of the technical support of $ 0.3330, where there was a slight demand response on August 20 this year. However, the subsequent rebound only contributed to a re-test of the upward trend line and the previously defeated support (now resistance) of $ 0.36, which was the lower bound to the earlier consolidation.
In reaction to the hawkish speech of the Fed chairman last Friday, the XRP rate rebounded from this resistance, and on Sunday, it fell even below the support of USD 0.333.
If the downward trend continues, the price of this cryptocurrency could return to USD 0.30.
We could also expect a continuation of declines in the Nem cryptocurrency quotes. Its price has dropped by more than 30% since August 11 this year, beating technical support of USD 0.048 and USD 0.043. If this trend continues, XEM could return to the May, June and July lows to the technical support of USD 0.037.
We could also expect further declines in the Chainlink quotation. The LINK exchange rate rebounded on August 13 this year from the technical resistance of USD 9.30, the upper limit of the consolidation lasting from the first half of May this year.
The recent sell-off contributed to the defeat of local support around USD 7.20, which may naturally drive a further depreciation towards the lower limit of the said consolidation, i.e. to USD 5.90.